These Will Be The Fastest Growing (And Declining) Industries In The US Over The Next Decade

The labor power is at all times shifting, responding to technological or societal modifications.

For that purpose, keeping track of the quickest rising industries may help staff and companies keep on prime of the essential tendencies driving employment.

Today, Visual Capitalist’s Pallavi Rao seems to be by means of projections from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on the quickest rising industries, in addition to these which are the quickest declining, by proportion employment change between 2021 and 2031.

Ranked: Fastest Growing Industries By Employment Change

Event Promoters, Agents, and Managers prime the checklist of quickest rising industries, with a formidable predicted development of 39%, using over 180,000 staff by 2031.

Amusement Parks and Arcades follows shut behind, with an anticipated 38% enhance—including over 60,000 new workers—in the identical time interval. Ranked third, the Performing Arts business will begin the subsequent decade with round a 100,000-strong workforce, up 35% from 2021.

Below is the complete checklist of BLS’ projected quickest rising industries, ranked by p.c change in employment, between 2021–2031.

Rank Industry Sector Change
% Change
1 Event Promoters,
Agents & Managers
Leisure &
50,800 +39%
2 Amusement Parks
& Arcades
Leisure &
60,500 +38%
3 Performing
Arts Companies
Leisure &
28,400 +35%
4 Individual &
Family companies
Health Care 850,000 +31%
5 Mining Support
Mining 69,700 +31%
6 Spectator Sports Leisure &
36,500 +31%
7 Other Information
& Other
112,900 +30%
8 Other Personal
& Other
87,200 +28%
9 Travel &
Professional &
Business Services
32,300 +23%
10 Agriculture &
Forestry Support
& Forestry
26,200 +23%
11 Artists, Writers
& Performers
Leisure &
11,500 +23%
12 Accommodation Leisure &
333,700 +23%
13 Private Education
& Other
169,200 +22%
14 Government Transit Services
& Other
61,200 +22%
15 Home Health
Care Services
Health Care 330,100 +22%
16 Health Practitioners Health Care 205,500 +20%
17 Film, Video, &
Audio Recording
& Other
75,300 +20%
18 Museums &
Historical Sites
Leisure &
27,600 +20%
19 Computer
Systems Design
Professional &
Business Services
455,200 +20%
20 Professional,
Scientific &
Technical Services
Professional &
Business Services
144,100 +18%

Note: Services & Other sector consists of Information, Education and State & Local Government industries.

All of the highest three industries belong to the Leisure and Hospitality sector, which accounts for seven of the 20 quickest rising industries. This outsized efficiency displays restoration greater than pure development, because the BLS notes that the Leisure and Hospitality sector was unduly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, giving it a lower-than-usual baseline in 2021.

Ranked fourth by employment change proportion is Individual and Family Services, although it’s truly anticipated to see the most important development in complete employment phrases, including 850,000 new staff by the top of the last decade. It is one among three industries within the Health Care and Social Assistance sector with massive projected development, due to an elevated want for care service as a consequence of an aging American population.

Not to be missed is Computer Systems Design, projected to develop by 20% in employment due to rising demand for computing infrastructure and IT safety. Due the business’s sheer dimension in employment power with 2.3 million staff in 2021, that’s near half 1,000,000 extra staff over the subsequent decade.

Ranked: Fastest Declining Industries By Employment Change

Tobacco Manufacturing leads the group of industries anticipated to register employment declines by 2031, with a projected lower of 53% in employment, bringing its already small workforce right down to solely 5,000 workers by the top of the last decade. This stark decline shouldn’t be essentially pushed by waning smoking habits, as cigarette sales within the U.S. went up throughout the pandemic. Instead, additional automation of the business could exchange tobacco manufacturing workers.

Another business going through the same state of affairs is CDs & Tapes Manufacturing, which is anticipated to witness a 51% discount in workers by 2031.

Below is the complete checklist of BLS’ projected quickest declining industries, ranked by p.c change in employment, between 2021–2031.

Rank Industry Sector Change
% Change
1 Tobacco
Manufacturing -5,700 -53%
2 CDs & Tapes
Manufacturing -5,800 -51%
3 Apparel & Leather
Manufacturing -41,800 -36%
4 Printing Manufacturing -96,800 -26%
5 Coal Mining Mining -9,500 -26%
6 Newspaper &
Book Publishers
& Other
-60,000 -24%
7 Satellite &
& Other
-19,300 -22%
8 Cable Programming Services
& Other
-9,700 -21%
9 Other Furniture
Manufacturing -7,600 -20%
10 Engine & Power
Manufacturing -14,800 -17%
11 Railroad Rolling
Stock Manufacturing
Manufacturing -3,100 -16%
12 Rental Services Services &
-22,200 -15%
13 General Machinery
Manufacturing -39,800 -15%
14 Iron Ore & Steel
Scrap Smelting
Manufacturing -10,600 -13%
15 Lighting Equipment
Manufacturing -5,600 -13%
16 Metalworking
Manufacturing -21,100 -13%
17 Logging Agriculture
& Forestry
-6,000 -13%
18 Textile Mills Manufacturing -26,100 -13%
19 Agriculture,
Construction &
Mining Machinery
Manufacturing -25,500 -13%
20 Office Furniture
Manufacturing -12,600 -13%

Most of the industries going through massive complete employment contraction belong to the Manufacturing sector. The troubles of American manufacturing aren’t new, however the number of industries offered suggests a mixture of components inflicting slumps throughout the sector.

Some industries like Printing, Cable Programming, and Newspaper and Book Publishers face shifting consumption habits.

Meanwhile, others like Textiles, Apparel, and Furniture Manufacturing are anticipated to undergo from further automation and shifted manufacturing overseas.

Factors Shaping Future Employment Trends within the U.S.

It’s vital to notice that these projections by the BLS had been launched in September 2022. That means they don’t replicate the speedy rise of generative AI like ChatGPT and the way they’ve begun to have an effect on the economic system.

A latest Goldman Sachs report, for instance, acknowledged that AI may exchange 300 million jobs—virtually the scale of the U.S. inhabitants—around the globe within the subsequent 10 years.

That makes it an open and vital query as as to whether AI or highly effective demographic tendencies, comparable to slower inhabitants development and an aging workforce, would be the most impactful by way of figuring out the long run employment panorama.


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